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September 06 2011

POLL: Obama Approval Ratings Plummet Ahead Of Jobs Speech

Obama worried

Voter approval of President Barack Obama has sunk to the lowest point of his presidency, with 51% of Americans disapproving of his job performance, according to a new NBC/WSJ poll released this morning.

As Obama prepares to deliver his new jobs proposal to Congress this week, he faces widening voter pessimism and doubts over his ability to deal with the economy. Only 37% of voters surveyed approve of his handling of the economy, and 70% believe the economy has not yet hit rock bottom. About 73% said they think the country is heading in the wrong direction.

The survey's most foreboding finding is that 54% of Americans think Obama faces long-term setbacks from which he is unlikely to recover — the same rating President George W. Bush received in the months after Hurricane Katrina.

The sort-of silver lining for Obama is that he still beats 2012 Republican frontrunners Rick Perry and Mitt Romney in head-to-head matchups — he leads Perry by five points, 47% to 42%, and Romney by one point, 46% to 45%.

But 44% say they'd probably vote for a generic Republican candidate over 40% who say they'd probably vote for Obama.

Perry takes the lead among 2012 GOP presidential contenders in the new WSJ/NBC poll, confirming other recent national polls that show the Texan as the clear frontrunner. The survey found Perry has 38% support among likely Republican voters, with Romney in second with 23% support.

Ron Paul came in third with 9%, while Michele Bachmann sunk to just 8% support, down from 16% in the previous poll.

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// oAnth

cf. with The Real News video - 2011-09-06
Reposted fromSigalonbandf Sigalonbandf

February 10 2010


Analysis of Multiple Polls Finds Little Evidence Iranian Public Sees Government as Illegitimate

February 3, 2010 - on

Full Report (PDF)
Questionnaire with Findings, Methodology for All Three Surveys (PDF)

WPO Dataset for Download (SPSS Format)
GlobeScan Dataset for Download (SPSS Format)

Indications of fraud in the June 12 Iranian presidential election, together with large-scale street demonstrations, have led to claims that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad did not actually win the election, and that the majority of Iranians perceive their government as illegitimate and favor regime change.

An analysis of multiple polls of the Iranian public from three different sources finds little evidence to support such conclusions.

The analysis conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland (PIPA), was based on:

• a series of 10 recently-released polls conducted by the University of Tehran; eight conducted in the month before the June 12 election and two conducted in the month after the election, based on telephone interviews conducted within Iran
• a poll by GlobeScan conducted shortly after the election, based on telephone interviews conducted within Iran
• a poll by (managed by PIPA) conducted August 27--September 10, based on telephone interviews made by calling into Iran

The study sought to address the widely-discussed hypotheses that Ahmadinejad did not win the June 12 election and that the Iranian people perceive their government as illegitimate. It also sought to explore the assumption that the opposition represents a movement favoring a substantially different posture toward the United States. The analysis of the data found little evidence to support any of these hypotheses.

Steven Kull, director of PIPA, said, "Our analysis suggests that it would not be prudent to base US policy on the assumption that the Iranian public is in a pre-revolutionary state of mind."

On the question of whether Ahmadinejad won the June 12 election, in the week before the election and after the election, in all polls a majority said they planned to or did vote for Ahmadinejad. These numbers ranged from 52 to 57% immediately before the election and 55 to 66% after the election.


Iran: Analyse mehrerer Meinungsumfragen fand keinen Hinweis auf Wahlbetrug

In den westlichen Medien wird es wie eine erwiesene Tatsache behandelt, dass Amtsinhaber Ahmadinedschad bei den letzten Präsidentschaftswahlen nur durch massiven Wahlbetrug gewonnen habe. Weitverbreitet ist auch die Ansicht, die Mehrheit der Iraner würde seine Regierung daher als illegitim betrachten und einen Regimewechsel anstreben.

Eine Analyse von Meinungsumfragen fand nichts, was diese Meinungen stützen könnte.

// siehe Genaueres zur Studie via auf oanth: permalink
Reposted fromuebel uebel
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