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May 16 2014

Heino Jaeger - Look Before you Kuck

Bergung eines Verschütteten: Mit dem Dokumentarfilm "Heino Jaeger - Look before you Kuck" begibt sich Gerd Kroske auf Spurensuche nach Heino Jaeger, einem Künstler, Satiriker und Radiokabarettisten, der sich in den Siebzigerjahren Kultstatus erarbeitete und dann in Vergessenheit geriet. Komikern wie Olli Dittrich, Rocko Schamoni oder Helge Schneider ist er heute ein Vorbild. Unsere Filmkritikerin Elena Meilicke schrieb zum Kinostart: "Verdient hat Jaeger die Wiederentdeckung auf jeden Fall: seine improvisierten Stegreifgeschichten fürs Radio - erkennbares Vorbild etwa für die Telefonstreiche von Studio Braun - haben ein feines Gespür für deutsches Obrigkeitsdenken und Behördenjargon, sind dabei auf interessante Weise oft seltsam pointenarm und vor-sich-hin-mäandernd." Hier kann man den Film bei 3sat online sehen (120 Minuten).

April 06 2014

"The hunt for the missing Malaysia Airlines plane has shifted below the surface, with the "towed pinger locator" deployed on Friday to search for the black box before its batteries expire."

I wish them luck with that. From experience on the SAA295 'Helderberg' job I know that they've got a sub-minimal chance of finding that pinger in the next week or two. This wreck will be found acoustically, that's almost for sure, but it'll be by low frequency (100kHz or better) side-scan sonar --- or perhaps by pp-magnetometer... Almost certainly not by a couple of pinger locators and most certainly not by a fleet of photogenic aeroplanes sent on a photo-opportunity in a show-biz charade to assuage the PR efforts of three politicians and to satiate half a hundred rolling-news networks on telly.

A comparison with the Helderberg job is quite informative, mostly for its differences rather than its similarities. The water depth was broadly similar, circa four and a half Klicks if I remember correctly in that case. We never found the pinger(s). Not acoustically, anyway. After the thirty days plus ten percent we gave up dragging pinger locators around the hydrospace of the survey ground. We had a list of the co-ords of hundreds of false positives because we were under orders from bozos ashore to crank the receiver gain up the the max, but nothing of any use.

We did eventually find the CVR, replete with dead pinger, but that was more or less by accident when picking up a piece of wreckage with which it was entangled. That thing of quasi-accidental discovery of the recorders is actually quite common. Same thing happened with Valujet in the swamp and yet again with TWA800. In both of those cases the {insert colo(u)r here} boxes were found when someone trod on them. We never did find the SAA295 FDR, despite the fact that it had been affixed to the aircraft immediately adjacent to the CVR. Hell, they never found the recorders from the two Boeings in lower Manhattan -- and that was a case where they knew to within ten metres or better the very exact three dimensional co-ordinates of the impact points and they had reps from Boeing subbies searching every scoopful of debris for the thick end of a year.

We had the same problem, in the case of SAA295, of people ashore repeatedly switching the target area(s) as is being experienced by the poor sods at the sharp end of the MH370 search. We dreaded the hour after the end of the morning 'prayer meeting' conference calls because we knew that someone ashore would get his pencil out and make up a new box, usually in a place which could not be reconciled with any of the previous ones. Out of earshot of the shadowy civilian guy from Virginia who was leading the search from below and behind, we used to refer to those boxes as "your target for tonight".

Same thing is happening with MH370.

If such a bet were enforceable, and if I could find any mugs foolish enough to be a counter-party to the bet, I'd happily and profitably give odds of 100:1 against them finding the pinger with a pinger locator. They've got, at most, a couple of weeks, with only a couple of ships, neither of which (incredibly), is simultaneously towing a 100 kHz side-scan sonar.

Even with vane depressors and drag reducing devices such as Hairy Fairy vortex interruptors on the lower quarter of the tow-cable, they'll be lucky to make much more than three or four knots of waterspeed. The end of line turnarounds are an absolute bitch. In 87/88 we quit after doing a thousand square miles and we had the twin advantages of knowing quite accurately where the aircraft stoofed in and we had our tools in the water (titter ye not in the cheap seats!) at the locus within a week of the crash. These poor sods have none of those advantages and they are being led by an Air Chief Marshal who has reversed seamanship and placed the surface ships at the disposal and in the service of the air fleet instead of the other way around.

This evening, by any timezone, we enter the fourth week of the search and they haven't found so much as a satay stick from that aeroplane. If anybody has learned anything from the AF447 fiasco, then surely they must have learned that becoming fixated on theoretical back calculations of the impact point from subsequently discovered patches of identified and confirmed flotsam can lead to unwise people becoming target fixated on wrong locations.

With Helderberg we had two major advantages. One was that the flight deck crew had been aviating;navigating;communicating right up until very few (less than five) minutes before impact and had been giving copious amounts of positional and intention information to ATC. Very different to MH370. The other massive advantage we had was that the first confirmed patch of flotsam from the wreck was found, and its co-ordinates measured, just 12 hours after impact. The second patch was located just 12 hours after that.

Given the non-linearity of the mathematics of oceanic dispersal, any positional information from that elusive MAS satay stick, even if found during the fourth rather than fifth week, is likely to confuse rather than clarify the impact location. It'll tell you that the wreck lies in the SouthEastern quadrant of the Indian Ocean and not at some fairytale Dawson Field in one of the 'stans, but we pretty much know that anyway.

The ugly truth, quite certainly unpalatable to the two prime ministers and 230 sets of bereaved relatives, is that the best chance of finding the wreckage and a few fragments of human remains lies in a very long hard slog with side-scan sonar. It's a search which is likely to take very large fractions of a year or, more likely, multiple years. Enthusiasm for funding such a prolonged and open-ended search will surely dry up, as it always does, when the bills start flowing in and become overdue for payment.
Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost - Page 462 - PPRuNe Forums 2014-04-04
Reposted bymofo mofo
Chronus says:
"NBC News Reports: Malaysia’s prime minister says the missing plane was airborne for seven hours and only could have been taken down with someone at the controls.

We all know this has become a criminal investigation, where the passangers are no longer under investigation, but the crew are.

Given the two media announcements above one would be led to conclude that the prime suspects are the crew.

So it seems pointless at this juncture to hypothesise on fire and technical mulfunction.

The question must be, on what basis of factual or circumstantial evidence or a combination of both, did the Malaysian authorities decide to pursue this as a criminal investigation."


Who knows - maybe they feel the need to be seen to be doing something? Though fair enough to investigate what you can from what little you have when there is precious little else available to you. The term criminal investigation probably means no more that that side of it is a police one and their motives to be seen to "solve" this could be questioned by some.

Not only is it pointless to hypothesise on fire and technical malfunction, it is pointless to hypothesise on anything. We, the public, are unaware of what is known, press/media reports are high on drama but short on concrete facts. This is a very unprecedented event and until the investigators have some data no-one can know what set of unusual circumstances prevailed on that flight. Why the need of some to put labels on at this stage? To be able to say "I knew all along"?

I am most uncomfortable with what, to me at least, appears to be a suggestion before any real evidence is available that the crew are under criminal investigation. At this stage surely ALL investigation is routine and fact finding.
Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost - Page 473 - PPRuNe Forums
Lacher des Tages: Die USA finden, wenn wir unsere Telefonate direkt und nicht via USA routen, dann sei das ein Handelshemmnis, gegen das man juristisch vorgehen könne. Ach aber die US-Industriespionage ist keine Freihandelsverzerrung? Wieso klagt da eigentlich niemand gegen? (Danke, Martin)
Fefes Blog | 2014-04-05
Reposted bymofo mofo

April 03 2014

Erinnert ihr euch an gegenwirken? Das Prinzip aus Holland, missliebigen Menschen das Leben zur Hölle zu machen, indem man sie mit der vollen Breitseite der Bürokratie heimsucht? Da kommt dann im Wochenabstand die Bauaufsicht, das Bürgeramt, das Jugendamt, das Gesundheitsamt, eine Steuerprüfung, und so weiter. Wie sich herausstellt, haben sich die Amerikaner das abgeguckt und ziehen das jetzt an den ganzen Occupy Wallstreet-Aktivisten durch. *grusel*
Fefes Blog | 2014-04-03
Reposted byFrauJulebesenwonkoZombieGigolo

April 02 2014

I do not see that many posters 'from the east' on here and perhaps that in itself tells us something about the current western obsession with needing to know everything about an incident immediately , something we have been conditioned to expect by 'the media'. So after so many posts, some fascinating some bizarre I thought a few points of reflection about the overall incident might be an idea to bring a bit of perspective back, albeit from a personal point of view
I have visited Malaysia and worked with companies there .It is a complicated place politically and to western eyes there are a number of wrongs, it is said to be corrupt, but then who defines corruption and its political complexity is a reaction to the country's history and diversity. But their streets are pretty safe and not populated by druggies and 'gangstas' and their country pretty stable despite a potentially fairly inflammatory mix of races and religions. They don’t leave their elderly to starvation and mistreatment in state hospitals nor do their financial communities lie and cheat and steal money from governments and populace on a scale big enough to trigger global recession
Equally despite past troubles the ASEAN nations plus China and a few others get on quite well and certainly quite practically, as has been pointed out they do not have any reason to send Mach 2 interceptors after anyone with a radio failure.
All would agree that this is an unprecedented event and perhaps the US or Uk would have handled the media side more professionally but at the end of the day we would still know nothing more would we-making it quite clear that the media are not at all as important as they like to think they are .
Malaysia's preparedness for such an event, bizarre as it is, is probably no worse than any other country which has not had to deal with what could be 'an internal problem'. The US, for all their defence spending could not easily see rogue traffic over the domestic US pre 9/11 and worse still upheld the ludicrous idea that domestic passengers were subject to far less security than those on international flights.
As to the Malay Govt covering things up , well that's a hell of a risk to take for a small Asian country if the information you are hiding impacts China more than any other country, even their own.
Diego Garcia keeps popping up to, I am pretty sure if MH370 headed their the US Military would know about it, after he USS Vincennes tragedy though I think they would have been hugely reluctant to down another airliners , especially one from a friendly Muslim country. They would have been aware of its approach and identity for some time I am sure, and what real damage could it cause anyway, not least because it would be dark at DG at the time, Hitting a specific building would be close to impossible and a smoking hole on the airfield while tragic in terms of lives lost would have no material impact on the base itself. In any event who would be the target, DG is not American it is British.
So perhaps we should reflect a little before posting , especially if that is a critical and defamatory post, this is truly a mystery and hopefully will be solved on day , but for the countries involved and their experts and service personnel it is hard enough without the constant we know better attitudes displayed here and on so many TV news broadcasts.
Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost - Page 458 - PPRuNe Forums 2014-04-02
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